FEWSNET predicts escalating food security crisis

Zimbabwe Food Security Outlook, June 2019 to January 2020

Report from Famine Early Warning System Network (FEWSNET)

Published on 28 Jun 2019 — View Original

Poor harvest and deteriorating macroeconomy driving atypically high food assistance needs

Key Messages

The deteriorating macroeconomy and significantly below average 2018/19 crop production are expected to drive widespread crisis food security outcomes through at least January 2020. Some worst-affected households are likely to be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes in districts of highest concern: Kariba, Binga, Hwange, Gokwe North, Mbire, Mudzi, and Chipinge districts from October through February, the peak of the lean season.

Note: The provinces in orange are the crisis provinces

Some worst-affected households are likely to be in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes in districts of highest concern: Kariba, Binga, Hwange, Gokwe North, Mbire, Mudzi, and Chipinge districts from October through February, the peak of the lean season.

The long-standing economic challenges are expected to continue driving poor and highly volatile macroeconomic conditions. Some basic commodities like bread, sugar and cooking oil are likely to continue in short supply. Fuel shortages and increasing fuel prices are also contributing to the economic hardships faced by both rural and urban populations as household incomes and purchasing power rapidly erode.

The Ministry of Agriculture currently estimates maize production for the 2018/19 season to be about 776,600 MT, 45 percent of last season and 59 percent of the five-year average. Early international forecast indicate, near average rainfall is likely for the start of the 2019/20 season. Despite this forecast, agriculture labor opportunities are likely to be below average in addition access to agriculture inputs is anticipated to limited….

https://reliefweb.int/report/zimbabwe/zimbabwe-food-security-outlook-june-2019-january-2020